Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 8.932460 10.367759 11.909568 13.683141 15.660970 17.792758 20.258087
2025-03-16 6.901001 8.722706 10.808705 13.354261 16.355916 19.761694 23.895945
2025-03-23 5.724920 7.778598 10.258909 13.434112 17.346905 21.965645 27.780891
2025-03-30 4.803306 6.970903 9.717116 13.383509 18.075662 23.801770 31.232235
2025-04-06 4.174710 6.430375 9.412720 13.543051 19.002884 25.855188 34.972693
2025-04-13 3.668308 5.974961 9.147661 13.690513 19.871983 27.823868 38.637660
2025-04-20 3.331137 5.707153 9.092866 14.084912 21.050091 30.201389 42.878050
2025-04-27 3.010509 5.418490 8.968761 14.351152 22.039454 32.340365 46.853130
2025-05-04 2.664447 5.044707 8.677771 14.341137 22.620590 33.927482 50.120743
2025-05-11 2.224830 4.463012 8.015275 13.726363 22.290222 34.229835 51.632406
2025-05-18 1.937131 4.096360 7.646092 13.511562 22.504438 35.268544 54.155441
2025-05-25 1.666447 3.722556 7.227165 13.180656 22.513145 35.995630 56.242543
2025-06-01 1.461534 3.443598 6.941344 13.040877 22.802497 37.137674 58.959279
2025-06-08 1.252335 3.126089 6.557762 12.709470 22.769176 37.793436 60.983766
2025-06-15 1.129195 2.961927 6.425792 12.780023 23.357690 39.375319 64.379740
2025-06-22 1.003777 2.774401 6.232601 12.728822 23.740956 40.651018 67.349759
2025-06-29 0.917730 2.659336 6.162065 12.881047 24.452693 42.438211 71.113761
2025-07-06 0.839161 2.549351 6.090093 13.022294 25.145763 44.209514 74.889631
2025-07-13 0.793252 2.509187 6.150013 13.401137 26.244841 46.635866 79.704770
2025-07-20 0.738651 2.439860 6.144640 13.656970 27.141210 48.763264 84.107480
2025-07-27 0.664578 2.309792 6.002706 13.647309 27.578249 50.169841 87.430269
2025-08-03 0.550694 2.053958 5.570767 13.056433 26.975987 49.888523 88.125247
2025-08-10 0.480383 1.902650 5.347335 12.850032 27.033234 50.663784 90.474004